prediction con dence
A3Rank: Augmentation Alignment Analysis for Prioritizing Overconfident Failing Samples for Deep Learning Models
Wei, Zhengyuan, Wang, Haipeng, Zhou, Qilin, Chan, W. K.
Wrong predictions can lead to various problems in di erent application domains, e.g., improper medical diagnosis [25] and tra c accidents [16]. Enhancing the DL application systems by reducing wrong predictions of DL models in producing outputs is desirable. Studies [9, 51, 52] have shown that DL models are vulnerable to operational input samples that can lead them to produce incorrect predictions in natural scenarios [52], and the prediction con dences of many such failing samples exceed those well-intended guarding con dence levels [54]. For example, strong sunshine may cause the camera of a self-driving car to capture an image full of white pixels, resulting in a prediction failure with high con dence. A major bottleneck in developing DL applications is detecting these overcon dent failures from their deployed DL application systems. To reduce unreliable predictions, many real-world machine-learning-based application systems are equipped with rejectors to discard uncertain decisions [17]. In DL application systems, many existing techniques [6, 17, 45] construct their rejectors for DL models to address the incorrect prediction problem. For example, many recent studies [2, 8, 42, 49] have been conducted to enhance the defense ability of DL models against out-of-distribution (OOD) samples from unknown classes or arti cial examples that are very likely to guide DL models to yield failures.
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